IMD Forecasts Above-Average Monsoon for India in 2025, Second Year in a Row

IMD Forecasts Above-Average Monsoon for India in 2025, Second Year in a Row

*New Delhi, [Date] —* The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast an above-normal monsoon for India in 2025, marking the second consecutive year of favorable rainfall predictions. This announcement arrives amidst observations of a notably early monsoon onset in 2024, which hit Kerala in the last week of May, the earliest in 16 years.

Early Monsoon Onset in 2024

In 2024, the southwest monsoon arrived over Kerala at the end of May, much ahead of its usual schedule. According to reports, this was the earliest onset recorded since 2008, setting the tone for an active monsoon season across the country. The monsoon has since made swift progress into other parts of the nation, raising hopes for substantial agricultural output and alleviating water stress in several regions ([Financial Express](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxQVVN6MHY5a0NiU0VCTWxPMGRuajY3cHg4U045M3ZzNDhLNHlGbGpOWnhJWmF6VDBSa2dvNzYxRUYwRV9MWDNyLWp5dEZjSFhFRzc0eHNXRDBabGVkV1FwZVdLNDM0b3c4UDdLWW9yalNuSXRBbFdIcHIxRG5ZbWtOZF92UURWX01OZHdDQ3VZRlhuSkdmTWVRTmE1VTBIeFBy?oc=5)).

IMD’s 2025 Monsoon Prediction: Above-Normal Rainfall

Looking ahead to 2025, the IMD has predicted that India will experience above-normal cumulative rainfall during the southwest monsoon season. The agency also ruled out the possibility of El Nino conditions, which are typically associated with weaker monsoon rains in the region. Instead, atmospheric and oceanic indicators suggest favorable conditions for robust rainfall for the second year in a row ([Mint](https://news.google.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?oc=5)).

Implications for Agriculture and Economy

A favorable monsoon is critical for India, where nearly half the population depends on agriculture, much of it rain-fed. Above-average rainfall typically boosts crop yields, especially for staples like rice, pulses, and sugarcane. It can also replenish reservoirs and groundwater levels, which benefit not just farmers but the entire economy.

According to experts, if IMD’s above-normal rainfall prediction holds true for 2025, the country could see continued relief from the high food inflation experienced in previous years. Food prices are likely to remain stable, and a good harvest could also support national food security efforts ([The Hindu](https://news.google.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?oc=5)).

Rapid Progression and Coverage

In addition to its early arrival, the 2024 monsoon made fast progress into central and eastern India within the first weeks of onset ([Financial Express](https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxON0pMdGdkM2gyd0JqQmhfU1dsUlBESW8tMFQ4N0JSYW44OFA3VmdKVnc5X0dwVmplSzY0SEpkcmY5am5UTUEwc2VrSzE5VXA0RDJsNVZKbnk2R0o4eXF0M2tNVVJSNWRFQ3otamc4SldUNmZPa1M4VlF0WDV5VHFLT042MDdoOUs5UGs4Y1NvVEJfYVFoZXUzTFY5dVMwelk?oc=5)). The IMD expects a similar pattern in 2025, with timely and widespread coverage benefitting both kharif crops and water resources.

Outlook

The IMD’s optimistic forecast for 2025 follows last year’s early and active monsoon, providing reassurance to policymakers, farmers, and markets. With no El Nino threat and above-normal rainfall predicted, stakeholders across India can anticipate another year of strong agricultural prospects and potential economic stability.

For continuous updates, visit the IMD website and follow national news outlets for region-wise rainfall alerts and advisories.